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Expect Higher Turnout Among African Americans Versus That of Whites11/2/08
CNN: Obama 53, McCain 46. National Poll Average: Obama 50.5, McCain 44.7. (Obama +5.8%) Gallup has updated their likely voter pool to include more black voters. According to them, "black turnout rates this year may approach or match turnout rates among whites". The underpinnings of that statement is reflected in their analysis. "Gallup analysis shows that blacks this year are just as likely as whites to report being registered to vote, and match the high levels of interest in the campaign and self-reported intention to vote seen among whites. The increase since 2004 on the latter two measures among blacks most likely reflects black voters' reaction to the candidacy of the first major-party black presidential nominee in U.S. history."
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