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American Research Group Constantly Under Represents Barack Obama's Support2/23/08
American Research Group is, on average, 11.5 points off the actual results with their polls. A lot of that has to do with the fact that they have continuously under-represented the support that Barack Obama draws. In South Carolina, they predicted that Obama was up by 3 when he won by 28%. In Delaware they predicted a race that was within the margin of error when Obama won by 10 points. At this point, you should be skeptical of any poll by ARG that shows a close election because Obama most likely is performing a bit better in the polls.
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