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Poll of Polls: Barack Obama Really Up Double Digits Nationally10/14/08
Although the daily tracking polls show Obama's advantage in the 5-8% range, the raw national polls average has him up double digits. In fact, if you take all of the national polls from the past week, average them, round off... Obama is ahead of McCain 50% to 40%.
Tracking polls are good way of determining a candidate's movement in the polls but they do not necessarily do the best job in characterizing, profiling, and surveying the demographics properly -- thus they may not be as accurate. This is the reason, I argue, that the tracking polls are likely underestimating Obama's support. So when McCain said he was only down 6% in a rally on Monday, he was following the tracking polls. Obama supporters could very well state that they are up 10%... which is what I believe he is.
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