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Who gets your vote in 2012?

Barack Obama (BO)	Mike Huckabee (MH)
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Final Set of National and State Polls

11/4/08

State	Pollster	Date	7-Day AVG	Obama	McCain
FL	SUSA	10/31-11/4	O+2%	50%	47%
FL	Zogby	10/31-11/3	O+2%	49%	48%
PA	SUSA	10/31-11/3	O+8%	52%	43%
PA	Zogby	10/31-11/3	O+8%	51%	41%
OH	Zogby	10/31-11/3	O+2%	49%	47%
MI	Mitchell	11/3	O+15%	54%	38%
NC	ARG	10/31-11/3	TIE	49%	48%
NC	Zogby	10/31-11/3	TIE	49%	50%
VA	ARG	10/31-11/3	O+5%	51%	47%
VA	Zogby	10/31-11/3	O+5%	52%	45%
IN	Zogby	10/31-11/3	M+3%	45%	50%
MO	Zogby	10/31-11/3	TIE	49%	49%
NV	ARG	10/31-11/3	O+7%	52%	47%
NV	Zogby	10/31-11/3	O+7%	53%	42%
WV	ARG	10/31-11/3	M+11%	42%	53%
AK	ARG	10/31-11/3	M+16%	43%	55%
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National Polls	Obama	McCain
ABC	53	44
CBS	51	42
Diageo	50	45
FOX	50	43
Gallup	55	44
IBD	52	44
Ipsos	53	46
Lake	52	47
Marist	52	43
NBC/WSJ	51	43
Rasmussen	52	46
Tarrance	50	48
Zogby	54	43
AVERAGE	51.9	44.5

Obama's 7.4% national lead remains steady.

Looks like Obama will definitely win Iowa and New Mexico, coming to within 6 EV of the presidency.

Obama's lead in Pennsylvania remains healthy, ensuring that McCain does not take any blue states.

Obama is slightly ahead in McCain's must win states of Florida and Ohio, which would give him the election.

Obama is contesting McCain's must win states of Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, and Missouri -- which also would give him the election.

If Obama loses this election, it would be shocking. As shocking as it was to see Obama lose to Clinton in the New Hampshire primaries even though he was up by double digits in the polls.

Also keep in mind that 9 of 10 pollsters though Obama would fare better than he did in the Pennsylvania primaries.

Pennsylvania Primary Results
Pollster	Clinton	Obama
Final	55	45
ARG	54	41
IADV	49	42
Mason Dixon	48	43
PPP	46	49
Rasmussen	49	44
Quinnipiac	51	44
Strategic Vision	48	41
Survey USA	50	44
Suffolk	52	42
Zogby	51	41
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The political betting odds had Obama at -1000 odds of winning this election. That means you have to put down 10 bucks to win back a buck... which means the pundits give him about a 91% chance of winning this election.

Nevertheless, Rasmussen Reports conducted a poll and found that Democrats were more likely to participate in exit polls. They found that Republicans were at least twice as likely to indicate that they were not going to participate.

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