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Mason Dixon's PA Poll Has McCain Down Just 4%

10/30/08

State	Pollster	Date	7-Day AVG	Obama	McCain	Barr
CA	Field	10/18-28	O+22%	55%	33%	-
TX	UT	10/15-22	--	40%	51%	1%
FL	NJ	10/23-27	O+3%	45%	44%	-
FL	CNN	10/23-28	O+3%	51%	47%	-
PA	Mason	10/27-28	O+10%	47%	43%	-
PA	CNN	10/23-28	O+10%	55%	43%	-
OH	NJ	10/23-27	O+6%	48%	41%	-
OH	CNN	10/23-28	O+6%	51%	47%	-
GA	CNN	10/23-28	M+3%	47%	52%	-
NC	NJ	10/23-27	O+2%	47%	43%	-
NC	CNN	10/23-28	O+2%	52%	46%	-
VA	Marist	10/26-27	O+7%	51%	47%	-
VA	NJ	10/23-27	O+7%	48%	44%	-
VA	CNN	10/23-28	O+7%	53%	44%	-
IN	WTHR	10/26-28	M+3%	46%	45%	-
MO	CNN	10/23-28	TIE	48%	50%	-
AZ	Mason	10/27-28	M+5%	44%	48%	-
AZ	CNN	10/23-28	M+5%	46%	53%	-
MN	Mason	10/27-28	O+14%	48%	40%	-
MN	MPR	10/24-28	O+14%	56%	37%	-
CO	Marist	10/27-28	O+7%	51%	45%	-
CO	NJ	10/23-27	O+7%	48%	44%	-
CO	CNN	10/23-28	O+7%	53%	45%	-
NV	CNN	10/23-28	O+7%	52%	45%	-
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National Polls

FOX: Obama 47, McCain 44
Rasmussen: Obama 51, McCain 46
Gallup (expanded): Obama 51, McCain 44
Diageo: Obama 48, McCain 42
Zogby: Obama 50, McCain 43
Battleground: Obama 49, McCain 46

AVERAGE: Obama 49.3, McCain 44.2 (Obama +5.1%)

Mason Dixon and NBC polled McCain within 4% of Obama in Pennsylvania and are now reporting that there is hope for McCain in that critical battleground state. Mason Dixon has McCain up by only 4% in his home state of Arizona... WOW.

CNN has a slew of polls that don't look very good for McCain. But that could be because the date ranges are old (October 23rd to the 28th). That long a timespan may smooth out the support but does not really do us any good in determining where the race stands right now. So I will overlook that.

Marist College has somewhat more recent state polls for Colorado and Virginia. They have McCain down by just 4% in Virginia and down by 6% in Colorado. Not bad considering what other pollsters had over the past week, including the polls released by CNN today.

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