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Obama's Lead in Pennsylvania As Much As in California?

10/7/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain
CA SUSA 10/4-5
O+16%
55% 39%
FL Mason 10/4-5
O+5%
48% 46%
PA SUSA 10/5-6
O+14%
55% 40%
PA Rass 10/6
O+14%
54% 41%
OH PPP 10/4-5
O+4%
49% 43%
NC SUSA 10/5-6
O+1%
46% 49%
IN R2000 9/29-10/3
M+3%
46% 46%
MN MPR 10/3-10/5
O+6%
54% 40%
WI SUSA 10/5-6
O+8%
52% 42%
CO IADV 10/6
O+6%
51% 45%
NV R2000 10/3-6
O+6%
50% 43%
NV IADV 10/6
O+6%
49% 47%
AK Rass 10/6
M+15%
40% 55%
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Survey USA holds polls in Pennsylvania and California and it appears as though Obama is doing as well in Pennsylvania as he is in California.

According to the General Election California poll by Survey USA:

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 11 days ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 4. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 12% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; independents favor Obama by 16 points. Among men, Obama leads by 11 points. Among women, Obama leads by 19. Obama leads by 39 points among Hispanics, by 63 points among blacks. Among whites, Obama and McCain are tied.

According to the General Election Pennsylvania poll by Survey USA:

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released twelve days ago, Obama is up 5 points; McCain is down 4. Among white voters, who make-up 87% of PA's electorate, Obama had trailed by 3, now leads by 4 -- a 7-point swing to the Democrat, which, when combined with Obama's now 24:1 advantage among black voters, puts Obama in prime position to capture the 21 Keystone Electoral Votes as the two candidates head for home. Obama today leads among PA men and women, young and old, rich and poor, more educated and less educated. McCain leads among Republicans, conservatives, pro-life voters, and gun owners. 21% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 16% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Independents break 2:1 for Obama. Obama leads 2:1 in the Philadelphia area, leads by 10 points in the Scranton area, and nominally in the Pittsburgh area. McCain leads by double digits in Harrisburg and ties Obama in Johnstown.

 

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