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Obama Is Ahead in the Electoral Race; 80 to 100 Votes

7/5/08

Candidate NY GA CT RI
Pollster Rass IADV R2000 RIC
Date 6/30 7/2 6/30-7/2 6/18-27
Barack Obama 60% 44% 57% 53%
John McCain 29% 46% 35% 25%
Bob Barr - 4% - -
Details Link Link Link Link

The electoral race continues to stick at around Obama 309 to McCain 229. Other compilation websites have slightly different numbers but come to the same conclusion.

RCP's tally without toss-up states is: Obama 304, McCain 234. EV's tally is Obama 320 to McCain 218.

We each have different methods for determining the winner of a state but because polls are starting to be updated on a more regular basis, each of our methods for estimating the electoral race is drawing closer together.

One state that may change soon is Georgia -- Obama is behind 2% in the Insider Advantage / Poll Position poll. With the large African-American population in Georgia, Obama could easily sneak in and swoop this state from the Republicans but he will need Bob Barr's help to do so.

Georgia has the ninth most electoral votes in the nation (tied with three other states) and a win for Obama would make it a daunting task for McCain.

 

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