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Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Other States

9/23/08

State Pollster Date Barack Obama John McCain
CA Rass 9/22 56% 39%
PA ARG 9/20-22 50% 46%
OH IADV 9/22 46% 46%
MA ARG 9/20-22 55% 39%
KY SUSA 9/21-22 38% 57%
OR ARG 9/19-22 52% 41%
AR ARG 9/20-22 41% 53%
KS Rass 9/18 38% 58%
VT ARG 9/18-22 56% 38%
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Barack Obama is ahead by 4% in Pennsylvania according to American Research Group -- now they have the race: Obama 260, McCain 242.

Pennsylvania Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Obama 37.0 42.2 42.5 43.5 45.6 48.0 48.3 46.3 47.4
McCain 40.0 40.7 45.8 43.0 40.8 39.3 41.3 39.0 45.1

Meanwhile, Insider Advantage says Ohio is a dead heat.

Ohio Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Obama 43.0 41.5 41.3 42.7 43.5 46.4 44.7 42.8 44.9
McCain 50.0 41.8 48.3 45.3 42.8 41.6 43.3 43.8 46.9

Note: The vertical tables that I had been using to report the daily polls made sense for the primaries when there were 10 candidates per party and only about four (4) polls per day.... but now that we have about 20 polls a day, we have changed the format to the horizontal format you see above.

Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 260 234
Poll of Polls 273 265
Survey USA 236 281
Rasmussen Reports 259 279
Quinnipiac 233 164
CNN 254 172
American Research Group 260 242
Insider Advantage 140 205
Research 2000 171 180
Strategic Vision 207 175
Public Policy Polling 168 171
Mason Dixon 190 126
Zogby 349 157
National Average 45.5% 43.8%
Weighted Nat'l Avg 46.5% 46.3%

 

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