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Barack Obama (BO)	Mike Huckabee (MH)
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Poll Results With McCain Must-Win States Highlighted

10/28/08

The highlighted rows represent those battleground states that must go McCain's way.

State	Pollster	Date	7-Day AVG	Obama	McCain	Barr	Nader
FL	LAT	10/25-27	O+2%	50%	43%	-	-
FL	Rass	10/26	O+2%	51%	47%	-	-
PA	IADV	10/26	O+9%	51%	42%	-	-
PA	Rass	10/27	O+9%	53%	46%	-	-
OH	LAT	10/25-27	O+6%	49%	40%	-	-
OH	SUSA	10/26-27	O+6%	49%	45%	-	-
OH	Rass	10/26	O+6%	49%	45%	-	-
GA	IADV	10/27	M+3%	47%	48%	1%	-
NJ	SV	10/24-26	O+16%	53%	38%	-	-
NC	NBC	10/23-25	TIE	47%	47%	-	-
NC	Rass	10/26	TIE	48%	49%	-	-
VA	Rass	10/26	O+7%	51%	47%	-	-
MO	Rass	10/26	TIE	48%	47%	-	-
WI	SV	10/24-26	O+10%	50%	41%	-	-
CO	IADV	10/26	O+8%	53%	45%	-	-
CO	Rass	10/26	O+8%	50%	46%	-	1%
AR	Rass	10/27	M+11%	44%	54%	-	-
MS	Rass	10/27	M+8%	45%	53%	-	-
NV	Suffolk	10/23-27	O+6%	50%	40%	-	-
NV	Rass	10/27	O+6%	50%	46%	-	-
NH	NBC	10/23-25	O+13%	50%	39%	-	-
NH	UNH	10/25-27	O+13%	58%	33%	-	-
MT	NBC	10/23-25	M+4%	44%	48%	-	-
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In our previous article regarding what McCain needed to do to win the election, we left off one important item from our list... That McCain needed to win Ohio. That was oversight on my part.

So here is now the list of 10 things McCain needs to do to win the election. I have updated the numbers as per the more recent polls of the day.

What McCain Needs!

Gain 1.8% in Florida.
Gain 5.4% in Ohio.
Maintain his 3.9% lead in Georgia.
Gain 1.9% in North Carolina.
Gain 2.0% in Indiana.
Gain 1.7% in Missouri.
Gain 4.6% in Nevada.
Edge a little bit ahead in Montana and North Dakota.
Turn this around in Virginia by gaining 7.5%.
Then either win Pennsylania or one of the following three states (Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico).

National Poll Averages:

Rasmussen: Obama 51, McCain 46.
Gallup (expanded): Obama 51, McCain 44.
Diageo: Obama 50, McCain 42.
Zogby: Obama 49, McCain 45.
ABC: Obama 52, McCain 45.
Ipsos: Obama 50, McCain 45.
IBD: Obama 48, McCain 44.
Pew: Obama 53, McCain 38.
Battleground: Obama 49, McCain 46.

AVERAGE: Obama 50.3, McCain 43.9. (Obama +6.4%)

McCain is doing better than the 7-8% deficit he had a couple of days ago but not by much. We fathom that he needs to gain about 4-5% nationally to really make this race tight on a state by state basis.

McCain's closing argument is going to be the key as to whether or not he makes any gains or not. Here are his two most apparent closing arguments:

Obama wants to be your Redistrubtion-of-wealth in chief, i.e. a socialist.
When Biden said Obama will be tested by the terrorists, it was an invitation and/or America's role as a superpower is over.
We must avoid giving the Democrats a blank check control of the House, Senate, and the Presidency.

Watch the Barbara West interview of Joe Biden.