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Barack Obama General Election Poll Averages

Candidate List: McCain, Obama, Nader, Barr.

Old Primary Polls: Nov04-Aug05 | Sep05-Jun06 | Jul06-Apr07 | May07-Jan08

Latest: Presidential Approval Polls

Last Updated: 11/4/08

State Averages by Month

State
[min, max]		 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
California
[47, 61]		 48.5 54.0 51.8 50.0 50.2 54.3 51.3 49.5 52.8 54.4
Texas
[33, 46]		 - - 44.0 - 39.3 38.8 37.0 - 39.5 40.5
New York
[38, 65]		 43.7 52.0 50.3 48.3 50.5 52.8 47.0 52.0 53.3 61.0
Florida
[35, 52]		 - 37.0 42.3 37.5 41.3 42.2 44.0 43.3 46.1 48.6
Illinois
[50, 61]		 58.0 - 60.0 - - 53.0 50.0 53.0 54.0 58.0
Pennsylvania
[37, 55]		 37.0 42.2 42.5 43.5 45.6 48.0 48.3 46.3 47.6 52.0
Ohio
[38, 57]		 43.0 41.5 41.3 42.7 43.5 46.4 44.7 42.8 45.6 49.4
Michigan
[37, 58]		 - 47.0 43.5 - 40.0 47.0 45.5 45.3 47.9 53.9
Georgia
[38, 48]		 - - 41.0 - 39.5 41.3 41.5 43.0 41.4 45.2
New Jersey
[43, 56]		 - 45.0 43.7 51.5 - 47.8 47.0 49.5 49.0 52.5
North Carolina
[38, 52]		 - - 43.5 43.0 42.3 42.4 43.3 42.4 44.7 48.3
Virginia
[39, 54]		 40.0 47.5 44.0 44.0 45.7 46.0 45.0 45.8 47.2 50.6
Massachusetts
[45, 62]		 45.0 48.0 48.3 49.5 - 51.6 - 49.0 55.0 58.0
Indiana
[39, 51]		 - 40.0 41.0 43.5 - 39.0 - 43.0 44.8 46.5
Missouri
[38, 52]		 43.5 49.0 39.7 42.0 43.0 42.7 44.5 40.5 45.3 48.0
Tennessee
[31, 42]		 - 36.0 38.0 31.0 - 36.0 - 34.0 37.5 40.0
Washington
[44, 56]		 52.0 55.0 47.3 53.0 47.5 51.0 49.0 51.5 50.5 53.6
Arizona
[30, 47]		 - 38.0 39.0 36.0 39.0 41.5 38.0 35.5 38.5 45.8
Maryland
[52, 54]		 - - 53.0 - - 53.0 - 53.0 53.0 -
Minnesota
[42, 57]		 46.0 54.0 48.0 50.5 51.0 49.8 49.0 47.0 49.4 51.1
Wisconsin
[43, 55]		 44.0 48.5 48.3 47.3 45.5 49.4 50.0 46.0 48.1 52.1
Alabama
[25, 40]		 29.0 34.0 35.0 35.0 32.0 35.0 37.0 34.0 32.5 34.5
Colorado
[41, 53]		 - 46.0 48.0 46.0 48.0 44.3 46.5 44.4 46.9 50.9
Louisiana
[34, 43]		 - - 39.0 - - 39.0 34.0 38.0 41.5 41.0
Kentucky
[28, 44]		 35.0 32.0 30.5 29.0 32.5 40.0 37.0 37.0 39.0 41.4
South Carolina
[35, 45]		 - - 45.0 - - 40.5 40.0 - 40.3 41.0
Connecticut
[47, 57]		 - - 52.3 - - 50.8 54.0 - 54.0 56.0
Iowa
[42, 55]		 55.0 47.5 50.0 48.0 45.5 45.3 48.0 48.0 50.7 53.3
Oklahoma
[24, 38]		 30.0 - 34.0 - - 37.5 24.0 - 33.3 32.0
Oregon
[46, 57]		 47.0 48.5 48.5 51.0 52.0 48.0 46.0 47.5 52.0 54.0
Arkansas
[27, 44]		 - - 33.0 - 33.0 40.0 37.0 - 41.0 43.0
Kansas
[31, 44]		 39.0 44.0 41.0 37.0 36.5 36.5 32.0 36.0 36.7 41.0
Mississippi
[33, 45]		 - - 41.0 - 41.5 44.0 41.5 41.0 40.7 39.3
Nebraska
[32, 42]		 - - 42.0 - 39.0 40.0 32.0 - 35.5 -
New Mexico
[41, 58]		 41.0 49.5 50.0 44.5 49.0 48.0 46.0 46.0 49.9 51.8
Nevada
[38, 53]		 - 50.0 45.5 43.0 40.0 40.7 42.0 41.5 46.1 49.7
Utah
[23, 39]		 - - 39.0 - 27.0 31.0 - 23.0 28.3 32.0
West Virginia
[35, 53]		 - - 35.0 - - 37.0 - - 42.0 45.0
Hawaii
[61, 63]		 - - 61.0 - - - - - 63.0 -
Idaho
[26, 39]		 - - 39.0 - - - 37.0 29.0 27.5 -
Maine
[37, 56]		 - - 53.0 49.0 - 46.0 46.0 49.0 50.5 53.7
New Hampshire
[40, 58]		 - 49.0 44.5 - 44.0 45.0 46.5 44.5 48.0 52.3
Rhode Island
[42, 59]		 - 42.0 53.0 - - 54.0 - 51.0 58.5 -
Alaska
[29, 45]		 - - - 43.0 41.0 41.0 40.0 45.0 34.5 40.3
Delaware
[50, 57]		 - - 50.0 - - - - - 54.3 56.0
South Dakota
[39, 44]		 - - 43.0 - - - 40.0 - 39.0 42.5
Montana
[39, 48]		 - - 39.0 43.0 39.0 - 46.0 - 42.7 44.8
North Dakota
[40, 46]		 - - 46.0 - - - 42.5 43.0 41.3 45.3
Vermont
[56, 63]		 - - 63.0 - - - - - 56.0 -
Wyoming
[25, 40]		 - - 35.0 - 40.0 - - 25.0 34.3 36.0
District of Columbia
[82, 82]		 - - - - - - - - 82.0 -

Miscellaneous Averages

State Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Southern States 29.0 36.3 39.3 37.1 40.0 40.3 41.1 41.3 42.9
Western States 46.0 48.7 47.5 42.9 45.7 43.9 45.8 42.6 46.2
Red States 41.8 43.8 41.7 41.9 42.2 42.5 42.5 42.4 44.0
Blue States 46.4 47.7 49.0 48.0 46.7 50.1 48.5 48.3 50.5
Midwestern States 46.4 46.1 44.7 45.4 42.6 46.2 44.7 44.2 46.6
Northeastern States 42.6 45.1 48.2 46.9 46.1 50.1 48.3 48.5 50.0

National Averages by Month

Clicking on the month will sort the list in ascending-descending order.

Pollster
[min, max]		 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
ABC News
[47, 53]		 - 47.0 53.0 49.0 51.0 49.0 50.0 49.0 49.0
CNN
[44, 53]		 49.0 52.0 47.0 - 49.0 47.5 46.0 45.0 45.0
Cook Political Report
[43, 47]		 - 45.0 45.0 45.0 - 44.0 - - -
Democracy Corps
[46, 50]		 - - - - - 49.0 49.0 - -
Diageo
[38, 48]		 43.0 46.0 - 38.0 - - - 46.0 46.0
Fox News
[40, 49]		 44.0 47.0 43.0 - 43.0 45.0 40.0 42.0 42.0
Gallup
[45, 50]		 45.0 50.0 - - - - - 45.0 45.0
Ipsos
[44, 48]		 - - - - - - - 47.0 47.0
CBS News
[42, 51]		 - 50.0 48.0 47.0 48.0 48.0 45.0 46.0 46.0
Los Angeles Times
[41, 49]		 41.0 42.0 - - 46.0 48.5 - 42.0 42.0
Marist
[47, 47]		 - - - - - - - - -
NBC
[42, 49]		 42.0 - 45.5 - 46.0 47.0 48.0 45.0 45.0
Newsweek
[44, 52]		 - - 46.0 47.5 46.0 51.0 44.0 - -
Pew Research
[42, 50]		 - - - - - 45.0 47.0 46.0 46.0
Quinnipiac
[47, 50]		 - - - - 47.0 - 50.0 47.0 47.0
Rasmussen Reports
[41, 46]		 43.3 - - 46.0 - - - - -
Time Magazine
[46, 50]		 - - - - - - - 46.0 46.0
USA Today
[45, 55]		 - - 49.0 47.0 47.0 51.0 45.0 50.0 50.0
Zogby
[39, 48]		 43.0 47.0 40.0 45.0 48.0 47.0 47.0 42.0 42.0
Misc Pollsters
[39, 51]		 - - - - - - 45.5 41.0 41.0

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2008 Predicted Electoral Math

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. Zip Codes.

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