Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democratic Exit Polls

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Hillary Clinton performs the best with lower income voters but loses by double digits with voters who make more than $100,000.

Under $50,000 Income Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 49% 46%
California 59% 35%
Texas 51% 49%
New York 60% 38%
Florida 51% 31%
Illinois 34% 64%
Pennsylvania 54% 46%
Ohio 53% 46%
Michigan 62% 33%
Georgia 33% 66%
New Jersey 58% 40%
North Carolina 36% 59%
Virginia 36% 62%
Massachusetts 60% 36%
Indiana 52% 48%
Missouri 46% 51%
Tennessee 55% 39%
Arizona 51% 44%
Maryland 36% 60%
Wisconsin 44% 54%
Alabama 41% 56%
Louisiana 35% 57%
Kentucky 67% 28%
South Carolina 28% 57%
Connecticut 50% 44%
Oklahoma 69% 23%
Arkansas 70% 27%
New Mexico 55% 42%
Utah 39% 50%
West Virginia 69% 28%
New Hampshire 47% 32%
Rhode Island 49% 48%
Delaware 47% 49%
South Dakota 58% 42%
Montana 42% 54%
Vermont 33% 65%

Over $100,0000 Income Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 44% 52%
California 45% 52%
Texas 44% 56%
New York 58% 39%
Florida 49% 33%
Illinois 29% 70%
Pennsylvania 51% 49%
Ohio 46% 54%
Michigan 44% 50%
Georgia 30% 67%
New Jersey 54% 44%
North Carolina 42% 54%
Virginia 32% 68%
Massachusetts 54% 44%
Indiana 52% 48%
Tennessee 45% 51%
Arizona 48% 44%
Maryland 42% 55%
Wisconsin 38% 62%
Louisiana 35% 56%
Kentucky 67% 28%
South Carolina 30% 46%
Connecticut 44% 55%
Oklahoma 37% 45%
Arkansas 67% 31%
New Mexico 40% 56%
Utah 36% 64%
West Virginia 51% 45%
New Hampshire 36% 41%
Rhode Island 46% 54%
Delaware 36% 62%
South Dakota 50% 50%
Montana 39% 59%
Vermont 31% 68%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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