Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Battleground States

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Pro-Obama States

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Pro-McCain States

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Hillary Clinton performs the best when voters indicate that the economy and health care are the most important issues to them. When voters proclaim that Iraq is the most important issue, Obama wins those voters by double digits.

Economy Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 50% 46%
California 55% 39%
Texas 49% 50%
New York 59% 39%
Florida 50% 32%
Illinois 36% 62%
Pennsylvania 58% 42%
Ohio 52% 47%
Michigan 56% 40%
Georgia 33% 64%
New Jersey 54% 44%
North Carolina 44% 52%
Virginia 37% 62%
Massachusetts 62% 36%
Indiana 53% 47%
Missouri 51% 47%
Tennessee 57% 39%
Arizona 54% 38%
Maryland 36% 59%
Wisconsin 41% 57%
Alabama 45% 53%
Louisiana 35% 57%
Kentucky 69% 27%
South Carolina 29% 52%
Connecticut 48% 50%
Oklahoma 55% 29%
Arkansas 71% 26%
New Mexico 56% 41%
Utah 42% 54%
West Virginia 65% 31%
New Hampshire 44% 35%
Rhode Island 55% 43%
Delaware 44% 52%
South Dakota 57% 43%
Montana 42% 56%
Vermont 44% 56%

Health Care Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 51% 44%
California 61% 33%
Texas 58% 40%
New York 66% 32%
Florida 52% 33%
Illinois 32% 68%
Pennsylvania 54% 46%
Ohio 52% 47%
Michigan 60% 37%
Georgia 32% 65%
New Jersey 56% 42%
North Carolina 36% 59%
Virginia 40% 60%
Massachusetts 63% 33%
Indiana 56% 44%
Missouri 49% 49%
Tennessee 51% 42%
Arizona 47% 46%
Maryland 47% 53%
Wisconsin 46% 54%
Alabama 46% 50%
Louisiana 38% 55%
Kentucky 59% 30%
South Carolina 26% 56%
Connecticut 57% 39%
Oklahoma 58% 28%
Arkansas 73% 22%
New Mexico 53% 45%
Utah 45% 52%
West Virginia 69% 27%
New Hampshire 37% 38%
Rhode Island 58% 39%
Delaware 43% 53%
South Dakota 63% 37%
Montana 46% 51%
Vermont 47% 52%

Iraq Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 41% 54%
California 44% 51%
Texas 47% 52%
New York 51% 46%
Florida 45% 37%
Illinois 28% 71%
Pennsylvania 45% 55%
Ohio 47% 53%
Michigan 52% 38%
Georgia 23% 77%
New Jersey 51% 45%
North Carolina 36% 60%
Virginia 32% 68%
Massachusetts 45% 52%
Indiana 46% 54%
Missouri 39% 58%
Tennessee 47% 44%
Arizona 44% 49%
Maryland 34% 62%
Wisconsin 39% 60%
Alabama 32% 67%
Louisiana 37% 55%
Kentucky 56% 38%
South Carolina 23% 58%
Connecticut 35% 63%
Oklahoma 51% 35%
Arkansas 63% 32%
New Mexico 37% 60%
Utah 33% 62%
West Virginia 56% 41%
New Hampshire 35% 44%
Rhode Island 38% 62%
Delaware 37% 57%
South Dakota 42% 58%
Montana 38% 60%
Vermont 28% 73%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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