Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Clinton beats Barack Obama among whites, latinos and asians that have voted thus far but trails by over 63% among black voters.

White Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 55% 39%
California 46% 45%
Texas 55% 44%
New York 59% 37%
Florida 53% 23%
Illinois 41% 57%
Pennsylvania 62% 38%
Ohio 61% 38%
Michigan 63% 31%
Georgia 53% 43%
New Jersey 66% 31%
North Carolina 59% 36%
Virginia 47% 52%
Massachusetts 58% 40%
Indiana 60% 40%
Missouri 57% 39%
Tennessee 67% 26%
Arizona 53% 38%
Maryland 52% 42%
Wisconsin 45% 54%
Alabama 72% 25%
Louisiana 58% 30%
Kentucky 72% 22%
South Carolina 36% 24%
Connecticut 49% 48%
Oklahoma 56% 29%
Arkansas 79% 16%
New Mexico 43% 55%
Utah 40% 55%
West Virginia 69% 28%
New Hampshire 39% 36%
Rhode Island 55% 43%
Delaware 56% 40%
South Dakota 56% 44%
Montana 41% 56%
Vermont 37% 62%

Black Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 16% 82%
California 18% 78%
Texas 15% 85%
New York 37% 61%
Florida 25% 73%
Illinois 5% 93%
Pennsylvania 11% 89%
Ohio 11% 89%
Michigan 30% 68%
Georgia 11% 88%
New Jersey 14% 82%
North Carolina 6% 91%
Virginia 10% 90%
Massachusetts 29% 66%
Indiana 8% 92%
Missouri 15% 84%
Tennessee 22% 77%
Arizona 12% 79%
Maryland 15% 84%
Wisconsin 8% 91%
Alabama 15% 84%
Louisiana 13% 86%
Kentucky 7% 88%
South Carolina 19% 78%
Connecticut 24% 74%
Arkansas 25% 74%
Delaware 9% 86%

Latino Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 58% 39%
California 67% 32%
Texas 63% 35%
New York 73% 26%
Florida 59% 30%
Illinois 49% 50%
New Jersey 68% 30%
Virginia 46% 54%
Massachusetts 56% 36%
Arizona 55% 41%
Maryland 55% 45%
Connecticut 43% 53%
New Mexico 62% 36%

Asian Voters in the 2008 Exit Polls

State Clinton Obama
Averages of States 71% 25%
California 71% 25%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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