Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Pro-Obama States

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Pro-McCain States

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tab SC tab TN tab UT
tab WV tab WY tab TX

 

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Electoral College Map with Numbers (Barack Obama vs. John McCain)

Last Updated: 10/15/08

MethodObamaMcCain
Latest Poll Per State 346 182
Poll of Polls 352 166
Survey USA 293 245
Rasmussen Reports 349 174
Quinnipiac 269 128
CNN 281 150
ARG 316 222
Insider Advantage 229 150
Research 2000 215 160
Strategic Vision 258 128
Public Policy Polling 239 124
Mason Dixon 186 134
Zogby 271 240
National Average 48.5% 41.6%

Latest Poll Results By State

State #EV Mid-Date Barack ObamaJohn McCain
California 55 10/9/08 56.040.0
Texas 34 10/7/08 38.057.0
New York 31 9/24/08 57.038.0
Florida 27 10/13/08 48.044.0
Illinois 21 10/13/08 56.039.0
Pennsylvania 21 10/12/08 55.040.0
Ohio 20 10/13/08 50.045.0
Michigan 17 10/10/08 54.038.0
Georgia 15 10/13/08 45.053.0
New Jersey 15 10/12/08 55.040.0
North Carolina 15 10/13/08 48.046.0
Virginia 13 10/13/08 53.043.0
Massachusetts 12 10/13/08 62.034.0
Indiana 11 10/7/08 43.050.0
Missouri 11 10/13/08 48.049.0
Tennessee 11 9/29/08 39.058.0
Washington 11 10/13/08 56.040.0
Arizona 10 9/29/08 38.059.0
Maryland 10 9/18/08 54.039.0
Minnesota 10 10/7/010 0.00.0
Wisconsin 10 10/10/08 54.037.0
Alabama 9 6/26/020 36.051.0
Colorado 9 10/13/08 51.047.0
Louisiana 9 9/25/08 40.055.0
Kentucky 8 9/30/08 42.052.0
South Carolina 8 10/13/08 41.055.0
Connecticut 7 9/25/08 54.038.0
Iowa 7 10/9/08 54.041.0
Oklahoma 7 10/5/08 29.066.0
Oregon 7 10/12/08 57.040.0
Arkansas 6 9/21/08 41.053.0
Kansas 6 10/13/08 41.054.0
Mississippi 6 9/30/08 44.052.0
Nebraska 5 9/30/08 37.056.0
New Mexico 5 10/13/08 52.045.0
Nevada 5 10/13/08 49.046.0
Utah 5 9/12/08 29.065.0
West Virginia 5 10/13/08 47.049.0
Hawaii 4 9/10/08 63.032.0
Idaho 4 9/9/08 29.068.0
Maine 4 9/23/08 49.044.0
New Hampshire 4 10/7/08 52.043.0
Rhode Island 4 9/13/08 58.039.0
Alaska 3 10/6/08 40.055.0
Delaware 3 10/10/08 56.041.0
South Dakota 3 9/20/08 39.055.0
Montana 3 10/7/08 45.050.0
North Dakota 3 10/7/08 45.043.0
Vermont 3 9/20/08 56.038.0
Wyoming 3 9/23/08 36.057.0
District of Columbia 3 9/12/08 82.013.0

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Predicted Electoral Math

tab Latest Polls Per State
tab Poll of Polls
tab Quinnipiac University
tab Rasmussen Reports Polls
tab Research 2000
tab Survey USA Polls
tab CNN
tab American Research Group
tab Insider Advantage
tab Zogby
tab Mason Dixon
tab Public Policy Polling
tab Strategic Vision

Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
DE: O'Donnell vs Biden
GA: Chambliss vs Martin
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
IL: Sauerberg vs Durbin
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
MT: Kelleher vs Baucus
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
RI: Tingle vs Reed
SC: Graham vs Conley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TN: Alexander vs Tuke
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

WV: Wolfe vs Rockefeller
WY: Enzi vs Rothfuss
WY: Barasso vs Carter

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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tab 2004 Primary Polls

 

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M.S. Engineering; UCLA

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Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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High School Intern from Michigan

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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