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Poll of Polls - Results By State

Last Updated: 11/4/08

Our current method:

  • if one or more polls were conducted in the last 30 days, average them
  • 2 else, use the last poll ever conducted in the state

Note: this method is likely to change. 30 days is fine now but as we approach the election, it will seem like an eternity of a window to average.

State #EV Barack ObamaJohn McCain
California 55 52.534.5
Texas 34 44.054.0
New York 31 65.029.0
Florida 27 48.246.2
Illinois 21 60.035.0
Pennsylvania 21 51.842.7
Ohio 20 49.344.8
Michigan 17 53.638.4
Georgia 15 46.149.7
New Jersey 15 54.338.3
North Carolina 15 48.447.5
Virginia 13 50.644.8
Massachusetts 12 53.034.0
Indiana 11 46.447.4
Missouri 11 47.647.8
Tennessee 11 38.054.0
Washington 11 53.041.3
Arizona 10 45.850.0
Maryland2 10 54.039.0
Minnesota 10 54.540.5
Wisconsin 10 52.441.1
Alabama2 9 36.051.0
Colorado 9 50.944.2
Louisiana 9 41.057.0
Kentucky 8 43.052.7
South Carolina 8 43.052.5
Connecticut2 7 56.031.0
Iowa 7 53.038.0
Oklahoma2 7 35.059.0
Oregon 7 55.542.0
Arkansas 6 43.052.3
Kansas 6 41.053.0
Mississippi 6 45.053.0
Nebraska2 5 37.056.0
New Mexico 5 55.043.0
Nevada 5 50.543.5
Utah 5 32.057.0
West Virginia 5 42.050.7
Hawaii2 4 63.032.0
Idaho2 4 29.068.0
Maine 4 56.043.0
New Hampshire 4 52.240.5
Rhode Island2 4 58.039.0
Alaska 3 41.056.5
Delaware2 3 56.041.0
South Dakota 3 42.551.5
Montana 3 45.648.4
North Dakota 3 46.047.0
Vermont2 3 56.038.0
Wyoming2 3 37.058.0
District of Columbia2 3 82.013.0

 

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