Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Obama	McCain
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Democrat Polls

Survey USA
Date: 10/29-31
California
Added: 11/1/08

Quote:

Outcome of California Proposition 4, on Abortion, and Proposition 8, on Marriage, Still in Doubt: 81% of John McCain backers vote 'Yes' on CA Proposition 8, to redefine marriage. The more votes John McCain gets in CA, the better 'Yes' on 8 will do. 71% of Barack Obama backers vote 'No' on Proposition 8, to leave the definition of marriage unchanged. But white Obama backers and black Obama backers vote differently on 8, so it is an oversimplification to say, "the more votes Obama gets, the better 'No' on 8 will do." The Bay Area is 2:1 against 8. Greater Los Angeles is 5:4 against 8. The Inland Empire and the Central Valley are 3:2 in favor of 8. The tightness of the contest is illustrated by SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graph on voters age 35 to 49.

Barack Obama	50%
John McCain	36%
Unsure	2%
Other	2%
Source

Field Poll
Date: 10/18-28
California
Added: 10/30/08

Quote:

Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll, said that Obama's huge lead underscores the Democrat's solid success in appealing to voter groups that are emerging as the fastest-growing and potentially most influential electorates in the nation.
The Illinois senator is leading McCain in every area of the state, among every age group except voters over 65, and holds leads in every demographic and income group, as well as among both men and women, the poll shows.
"He really is doing very well among the new emerging voters in California, in the largest areas where the voting population is growing fastest - the Latino vote, the youth vote and the nonpartisan vote," DiCamillo said. "These are groups that will have a huge amount of influence down the road."
With just five days until the November 2008 election, the latest Field Poll also underscores the potential impact of the coming election on congressional races. Asked their preferences for the U.S. House of Representatives in their district, 50 percent said they are inclined to vote for Democrats, while just 29 percent expressed a preference for Republicans in those seats, the poll showed.

Barack Obama	55%
John McCain	33%
Source

Public Policy Institute of California
Date: 10/12-19
California
Added: 10/23/08

Quote:

As the presidential campaign heads into the final two weeks, likely voters in California continue to support the Obama-Biden ticket. Support for the Democratic ticket has grown since last month and likely voters currently prefer Obama-Biden over McCain-Palin by a 23-point margin (56% to 33%). The Democrats� lead has increased 13 points since our September survey, which was conducted after the nominating conventions and before any of the four debates. Nationwide, the Obama-Biden ticket has improved its position since September among registered voters, according to several national surveys. Still, registered voters in California prefer Obama-Biden by a wider margin than registered voters nationwide.
Party loyalty among California�s likely voters remains high, with Democratic voters supporting Obama- Biden (89%, up 5 points since September) and Republicans supporting McCain-Palin (75%, down 8 points since September). Among independents, support for McCain dropped 10 points since September (35% to 25%), while the percentage that is undecided increased 12 points (8% to 20%). Obama enjoys the most support among likely voters in the San Francisco Bay Area (72%), followed by Los Angeles (61%) and the Central Valley (49%), while those in the Other Southern California region support McCain (47%).
Today, 62 percent of women and 50 percent of men support Obama-Biden. Support for McCain-Palin has declined among both women and men (6 points each) since the September survey, which was conducted after McCain�s selection of Palin as his running mate. Among Latinos today, Obama-Biden lead McCain- Palin by a four-to-one margin (73% to 18%); the Democratic advantage among Latinos has increased sharply since September (57% Obama, 30% McCain) and is similar to August (71% Obama, 16%, McCain). The Obama-Biden ticket leads the McCain-Palin ticket across all age, education, and income groups. Among self-described evangelical Christians, 56 percent support McCain.

Barack Obama	56%
John McCain	33%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/9
California
Added: 10/12/08

Quote:

Forty-six percent (46%) of California voters say that the economy is the top voting issue this year. Just 4% say the nation�s economy is in good or excellent shape while 69% rate it as poor. Only 1% believe that economic conditions are getting better while 87% say they are getting worse., the Democrat was ahead of his Republican rival 51% to 37%.
Fifty-six percent (56%) trust Obama more than McCain on economic issues while 38% have the opposite view and trust McCain more.
Obama is viewed favorably by 58% of California voters, McCain by 46%.
As for the running mates, Joe Biden earns favorable reviews from 54% while 39% say the same about Sarah Palin.
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger�s job performance earns good or excellent marks from 35% of voters, but 33% say he is doing a poor job.
President George W. Bush gets good or excellent marks from just 23% while 63% say he is doing a poor job.

Barack Obama	56%
John McCain	40%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 10/4-5
California
Added: 10/7/08

Quote:

As Voting Begins in California, Obama in 2008 is Out-Performing Kerry in 2004 and Gore in 2000: In an election for President of the United States held in California today, 10/06/08. Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 55% to 39%, according to this SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 11 days ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 4. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 12% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; independents favor Obama by 16 points. Among men, Obama leads by 11 points. Among women, Obama leads by 19. Obama leads by 39 points among Hispanics, by 63 points among blacks. Among whites, Obama and McCain are tied.