Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

Survey USA
Date: 9/23-24
California
Added: 9/29/08

Quote:

11 Days Until Early Voting Begins in California, Obama Poised to Capture 55 Electoral Votes: In an election for President of the United States in California today, 09/25/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 53% to 43%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. Obama leads among voters younger than John McCain. McCain leads among voters older than McCain. Whites split. Minorities back Obama. The Inland Empire and Central Valley back McCain. Greater Los Angeles and the Bay Area back Obama. Obama leads among those who consider themselves an intellectual, those who speak another language and those who do not own a gun.

Barack Obama	53%
John McCain	43%
Unsure	1%
Other	3%
Source

Public Policy Institute of California
Date: 9/9-16
California
Added: 9/29/08

Quote:

California�s likely voters prefer the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joseph Biden to Republican contenders John McCain and Sarah Palin by 10 points, but they�ll be watching closely to see how the candidates perform in a series of televised debates before marking their ballots. Eight in 10 say the debates will be very important (38%) or somewhat important (41%) in deciding who gets their votes, according to a statewide survey released today by the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) with funding from The James Irvine Foundation.
What do they want to hear the candidates debate? The economy leads the list.
Despite a month of high-profile activity that included the party conventions and selection of vice presidential candidates, the Democratic contenders� lead (50% to 40%) over the Republicans among California�s likely voters is nearly identical to what it was in August (48% to 39%). Widely viewed as a move to win over women voters, McCain�s addition of Palin to the GOP ticket has shifted few votes to the Republicans. Female likely voters, who supported the Democratic ticket by 21 points last month (53% to 32%), support it by 20 points today (56% to 36%). Democrats and Republicans support their respective party�s tickets in overwhelming numbers, while independents back Obama-Biden over McCain-Palin, 53 percent to 35 percent. Latino likely voters favor Obama-Biden (57% to 30%), but their support for the Democratic ticket has dropped substantially since August (71% to 16%).

Barack Obama	50%
John McCain	40%
Unsure	7%
Other	3%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/22
California
Added: 9/23/08

Quote:

Obama has held a double-digit lead over McCain in California in every poll but one this year. In April the Democrat led by just seven points.
Unlike voters in much of the country, California voters, a majority of whom last went for a Republican presidential candidate in 1988, haven�t been swayed by McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as a running mate either. The Alaska governor is viewed favorably by 39% and unfavorably by 55%. That latter figure includes 40% with a Very Unfavorably opinion. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say McCain made the right choice when he picked her, but 53% say he didn�t.
By comparison, 54% have a favorable view of Obama�s running mate Joseph Biden, and just 38% regard him unfavorably. Forty-two percent (42%) say Obama made the right pick, while 32% disagree.
Palin is considered at least somewhat conservative by 83% of California voters, including 58% who describe her as Very Conservative. Biden is considered at least somewhat liberal by 47%, with 17% saying he is Very Liberal. Over one-third (35%) say he is a moderate.
McCain is viewed favorably and unfavorably by just under half of voters. Sixty-four percent (64%) regard Obama favorably, while 35% have an unfavorable view of him. These numbers are similar to the findings a month ago.

Barack Obama	56%
John McCain	39%
Source

American Research Group
Date: 9/18-20
California
Added: 9/22/08

Quote:

Independents (19%): McCain 22, Obama 63.

Barack Obama	53%
John McCain	39%
Unsure	6%
Other	2%
Source

Field Poll
Date: 9/5-14
California
Added: 9/18/08

Quote:

Voters residing in California�s coastal counties, who represent 70% of the state�s likely electorate, prefer Obama-Biden over McCain-Palin overwhelmingly, 57% to 32%. On the other hand, inland county voters favor the GOP ticket 46% to 38%.
Support for the Democratic ticket is strongest in Los Angeles County and the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area, where Obama-Biden are supported by 60% and 69%, respectively. Voters in Southern California outside of Los Angeles, those in the Central Valley and voters in other parts of Northern California are about evenly divided in their preferences.
Voters are divided sharply by partisanship. About four out of five Democrats (81%) are voting for Obama-Biden, while about the same proportion of Republicans (76%) favors McCain-Palin.
Among all women voters in this state, 54% are supporting Obama-Biden and 33% prefer McCain-Palin. Women who are registered as Democrats split 83% to 9% in favor of the Democratic ticket. Republican women divide 74% to 12% for the GOP candidates.
Overall, men support Obama-Biden by ten points (49% to 39%). Democratic men divide 79% for Obama-Biden and 13% for McCain-Palin. Republican men prefer McCain-Palin 78% to 14%.