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Primaries 2004: Primary Polls
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EPIC/MRA
Date: 8/18-21
Michigan
Added: 8/25/08
Quote: . Obama has an eight-point lead among women, but the candidates are essentially even among men. McCain leads handily among regular churchgoers while Obama has the edge among those who rarely or never attend services (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members). As for the running mates, 53% have a favorable opinion of Palin while 52% say the same about Joseph Biden. However, opinions are much stronger about the Alaska governor�37% have a Very Favorable opinion of her while just 23% are that pleased with the longtime Delaware senator. Fifty-two percent (52%) say McCain made the right choice when he asked Palin to join the Republican ticket. Forty-two percent (42%) say Obama made the right choice of a running mate. Biden himself made headlines yesterday by suggesting that Hillary Clinton might have been a better option for Obama. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Michigan voters say the economy is the top issue of Election 2008. Just 21% see national security issues as the highest priority. When Libertarian candidate Bob Barr and Independent Ralph Nader are added in, Obama's lead narrows in Michigan to 45% to 42%. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 53% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 13% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 42% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 22% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 8% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 30% Undecided 18% The selection of Sarah Palin as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate appears to be a hit with Michigan voters. 45% of respondents say they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his running mate selection, while just 30% say Joe Biden joining the Democratic ticket makes them more likely to vote for Barack Obama. �There�s no doubt that the Palin choice shook up the race a good deal,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �The big question now is whether this tightening we�re seeing in Michigan is just part of a convention bounce, or a sign that the state is going to be extremely competitive right through November. If it is, that spells trouble for Barack Obama.� The race breaks down pretty much as one expects. Obama leads with women, blacks, and voters under 45. McCain has the edge with men, whites, and older voters. The candidates are tied with independent voters. .
Detroit Free Press Selzer
Date: 8/17-20
Michigan
Added: 8/22/08
Quote: . Obama has an eight-point lead among women, but the candidates are essentially even among men. McCain leads handily among regular churchgoers while Obama has the edge among those who rarely or never attend services (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members). As for the running mates, 53% have a favorable opinion of Palin while 52% say the same about Joseph Biden. However, opinions are much stronger about the Alaska governor�37% have a Very Favorable opinion of her while just 23% are that pleased with the longtime Delaware senator. Fifty-two percent (52%) say McCain made the right choice when he asked Palin to join the Republican ticket. Forty-two percent (42%) say Obama made the right choice of a running mate. Biden himself made headlines yesterday by suggesting that Hillary Clinton might have been a better option for Obama. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Michigan voters say the economy is the top issue of Election 2008. Just 21% see national security issues as the highest priority. When Libertarian candidate Bob Barr and Independent Ralph Nader are added in, Obama's lead narrows in Michigan to 45% to 42%. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 53% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 13% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 42% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 22% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 8% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 30% Undecided 18% The selection of Sarah Palin as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate appears to be a hit with Michigan voters. 45% of respondents say they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his running mate selection, while just 30% say Joe Biden joining the Democratic ticket makes them more likely to vote for Barack Obama. �There�s no doubt that the Palin choice shook up the race a good deal,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �The big question now is whether this tightening we�re seeing in Michigan is just part of a convention bounce, or a sign that the state is going to be extremely competitive right through November. If it is, that spells trouble for Barack Obama.� The race breaks down pretty much as one expects. Obama leads with women, blacks, and voters under 45. McCain has the edge with men, whites, and older voters. The candidates are tied with independent voters. . The numbers could move. Nearly one-third -- 31% -- of those polled said they could be persuaded to change their minds by Election Day Nov. 4. Perhaps most striking is Obama's 17-point edge among independent voters -- a bloc McCain has cultivated since he first ran for president in 2000. Most experts say independents will decide this year's race because both candidates have strong support from core voters in their respective parties. The poll shows the economy is by far the most important issue to voters -- 50% ranked it tops -- followed distantly by the war in Iraq, gas and oil prices and health care. And the poll showed Michiganders think Obama is slightly better equipped to help solve economic issues that have wrought havoc in Michigan. Social issues such as abortion and gay marriage were top issues for only 10% of those polled. This is the first Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll on the presidential race since the candidates became the presumptive nominees. It was conducted Sunday through Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It also shows: * Obama leads 80%-13% among Detroit voters. * Obama leads 45%-41% among voters in suburban Oakland and Macomb counties. * McCain leads among white voters statewide, 46%-38%. * Obama gets 92% of African Americans. * McCain holds a 13-point lead among Catholic voters; Protestants are evenly split, although evangelicals favor McCain by 2-1. * Among non-Christians, Obama leads 66%-13%. * Third-party candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader have a negligible impact on the race, if anything hurting McCain more than Obama. * Among first-time voters, Obama has a 2-1 edge.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 8/7
Michigan
Added: 8/8/08
Quote: . Obama has an eight-point lead among women, but the candidates are essentially even among men. McCain leads handily among regular churchgoers while Obama has the edge among those who rarely or never attend services (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members). As for the running mates, 53% have a favorable opinion of Palin while 52% say the same about Joseph Biden. However, opinions are much stronger about the Alaska governor�37% have a Very Favorable opinion of her while just 23% are that pleased with the longtime Delaware senator. Fifty-two percent (52%) say McCain made the right choice when he asked Palin to join the Republican ticket. Forty-two percent (42%) say Obama made the right choice of a running mate. Biden himself made headlines yesterday by suggesting that Hillary Clinton might have been a better option for Obama. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Michigan voters say the economy is the top issue of Election 2008. Just 21% see national security issues as the highest priority. When Libertarian candidate Bob Barr and Independent Ralph Nader are added in, Obama's lead narrows in Michigan to 45% to 42%. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 53% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 13% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 42% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 22% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 8% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 30% Undecided 18% The selection of Sarah Palin as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate appears to be a hit with Michigan voters. 45% of respondents say they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his running mate selection, while just 30% say Joe Biden joining the Democratic ticket makes them more likely to vote for Barack Obama. �There�s no doubt that the Palin choice shook up the race a good deal,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �The big question now is whether this tightening we�re seeing in Michigan is just part of a convention bounce, or a sign that the state is going to be extremely competitive right through November. If it is, that spells trouble for Barack Obama.� The race breaks down pretty much as one expects. Obama leads with women, blacks, and voters under 45. McCain has the edge with men, whites, and older voters. The candidates are tied with independent voters. . The numbers could move. Nearly one-third -- 31% -- of those polled said they could be persuaded to change their minds by Election Day Nov. 4. Perhaps most striking is Obama's 17-point edge among independent voters -- a bloc McCain has cultivated since he first ran for president in 2000. Most experts say independents will decide this year's race because both candidates have strong support from core voters in their respective parties. The poll shows the economy is by far the most important issue to voters -- 50% ranked it tops -- followed distantly by the war in Iraq, gas and oil prices and health care. And the poll showed Michiganders think Obama is slightly better equipped to help solve economic issues that have wrought havoc in Michigan. Social issues such as abortion and gay marriage were top issues for only 10% of those polled. This is the first Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll on the presidential race since the candidates became the presumptive nominees. It was conducted Sunday through Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It also shows: * Obama leads 80%-13% among Detroit voters. * Obama leads 45%-41% among voters in suburban Oakland and Macomb counties. * McCain leads among white voters statewide, 46%-38%. * Obama gets 92% of African Americans. * McCain holds a 13-point lead among Catholic voters; Protestants are evenly split, although evangelicals favor McCain by 2-1. * Among non-Christians, Obama leads 66%-13%. * Third-party candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader have a negligible impact on the race, if anything hurting McCain more than Obama. * Among first-time voters, Obama has a 2-1 edge. Men: Obama 40, McCain 39. Women: Obama 54, McCain 27. Michigan�s 17 Electoral College votes have gone to the Democratic candidates in the last four presidential elections. Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a -- % chance of winning the state this year. At the time this poll was released, Michigan was ranked as �Leans Democratic� in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article. Michigan has been harder hit economically than many parts of the country, and over half of the state�s voters (52%) now say economic issues are their number one concern in this election, up from 49% in July. National security, which was the top issue in the 2004 election cycle, is now viewed that way by only 18%. Voters see both men virtually tied when asked which will be better for the auto industry � 43% say McCain, 44% Obama. But 57% say McCain will be better for the oil industry versus 26% who think that of his Democratic opponent. Sixty-three percent (63%) say finding new sources of energy is more important than reducing the amount of energy Americans consume, but 29% see cutting energy usage as more important. Forty-four percent (44%) say high gas prices are more likely than government regulation to reduce U.S. energy consumption, although 35% think government regulation will be more effective. Now 33% of Michigan voters think President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, up for the second month in a row. But over half (53%) still rate his performance poor, down from 57% in July.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Michigan polls.
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