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Siena Research Institute
Date: 7/17-29
New York
Added: 8/3/08
Quote: The race for President continues to tighten in New York, with Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain 47-39 percent, down from 50-37 percent in July and 51-33 percent in June. Obama has a 54-34 percent favorable rating and McCain has a 49-41 percent rating. �While New York has not gone �red� in a presidential race since 1984, Obama�s lead over McCain has fallen from 18 points in June to just eight points today,� Greenberg said. �Certainly the dynamic in the race will change with the two conventions and the selection by both candidates of vice presidential running mates.� A plurality of New York voters continues to support seeing the State Senate switch control from Republicans to Democrats in November by a 47-42 percent margin, down slightly from 48-40 percent last month. Threetime gubernatorial candidate Tom Golisano, who says he will be financially supporting senate campaigns this year has a 22-20 percent favorable rating, although it is stronger upstate, 37-21 percent. Men: Obama 44, McCain 38. Women: Obama 58, McCain 23. "Sen. Obama and Sen. McCain are about even among white voters. But - just as in the Democratic primaries against Sen. Hillary Clinton - Obama's a big winner among black and young voters. And now he gets the women 2 - 1," Carroll added. Because of his age, 26 percent of New York State likely voters say they are less likely to vote for McCain. Obama's race won't affect their vote, 89 percent say. "New Yorkers insist they're not prejudiced against a black candidate, but one out of four admit to being biased against an older candidate," Carroll said. The economy is the biggest issue in their vote in November, 53 percent of voters say, followed by 17 percent who list the war in Iraq and 11 percent who cite health care. New York State likely voters disapprove 75 - 21 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing and say 68 - 26 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do. But voters split 48 - 48 percent on whether the U.S. should begin an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iraq with an 18-month timetable to complete the withdrawal or keeping troops in Iraq until the situation is stable, with no fixed date for full withdrawal. "The Iraq war continues to divide us by party. Republicans think it was the right thing to do; Democrats disagree. And, maybe because of Obama's new tone, there's a big shift in what we should do in Iraq. New Yorkers split down the middle between an immediate troop withdrawal and staying as long as needed," Carroll said. Obama leads 47% to 36% among men in the Empire State and 56% to 28% among women. He�s also backed by 78% of Democrats and 10% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, Obama has a 45% to 27% advantage over McCain. The presumptive Democratic nominee�s favorability ratings in New York have decreased somewhat along with his lead in August. He is viewed favorably by 59%, down from 67% in June. Obama is now viewed unfavorably by 39% of voters, up from 30% a month ago. McCain�s numbers have changed little since the last poll. He is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 49%. The survey also found that when it comes to New York�s current financial problems, the majority of voters (60%) are confident that Governor David Paterson has the ability to solve them. Another 36% are not confident in the governor�s abilities. Paterson earns good or excellent ratings from 51% of voters in the state, while 13% say he is doing a poor job. A plurality of voters (43%) believes a combination of tax increases and cuts in funding of state services and municipalities would help solve the New York�s financial woes. When it comes to the War on Terror, 46% of New York voters say the United States and its allies are winning. That number is slightly lower than the national average. Most New Yorkers (66%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central� front of the war, and 40% give that title to Afghanistan. Nearly half (47%) say Afghanistan is a greater threat than Iraq to the U.S. �Obama voters, McCain voters, they just do not see Iraq, Iran and issues like offshore drilling and Cuba the same way,� according to SRI Director, Dr. Don Levy. �In each case the current 25% of voters that are undecided on the presidential race fall between McCain and Obama�s supporters on issues. On Iraq the undecideds are closer to the Obama backers; on offshore drilling and Cuba, they lean towards the McCain supporters.� Seventy-Eight percent of all New Yorkers (91% of McCain backers, 67% of Obama�s) agree that although it is important to help people around the world that are in need, our first priority must be to effectively minimize terrorist threats to our country and its interests. But, only 15% of voters (23% of McCain�s and 10% of Obama�s) support actively spreading democracy to other nations, and 60% (71% of Obama�s, 43% of McCain�s) of New Yorkers do not think the United States should engage in any foreign wars unless part of a broad multi-nation coalition.
Siena Research Institute
Date: 7/7-10
New York
Added: 7/16/08
Quote: The race for President continues to tighten in New York, with Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain 47-39 percent, down from 50-37 percent in July and 51-33 percent in June. Obama has a 54-34 percent favorable rating and McCain has a 49-41 percent rating. �While New York has not gone �red� in a presidential race since 1984, Obama�s lead over McCain has fallen from 18 points in June to just eight points today,� Greenberg said. �Certainly the dynamic in the race will change with the two conventions and the selection by both candidates of vice presidential running mates.� A plurality of New York voters continues to support seeing the State Senate switch control from Republicans to Democrats in November by a 47-42 percent margin, down slightly from 48-40 percent last month. Threetime gubernatorial candidate Tom Golisano, who says he will be financially supporting senate campaigns this year has a 22-20 percent favorable rating, although it is stronger upstate, 37-21 percent. Men: Obama 44, McCain 38. Women: Obama 58, McCain 23. "Sen. Obama and Sen. McCain are about even among white voters. But - just as in the Democratic primaries against Sen. Hillary Clinton - Obama's a big winner among black and young voters. And now he gets the women 2 - 1," Carroll added. Because of his age, 26 percent of New York State likely voters say they are less likely to vote for McCain. Obama's race won't affect their vote, 89 percent say. "New Yorkers insist they're not prejudiced against a black candidate, but one out of four admit to being biased against an older candidate," Carroll said. The economy is the biggest issue in their vote in November, 53 percent of voters say, followed by 17 percent who list the war in Iraq and 11 percent who cite health care. New York State likely voters disapprove 75 - 21 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing and say 68 - 26 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do. But voters split 48 - 48 percent on whether the U.S. should begin an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iraq with an 18-month timetable to complete the withdrawal or keeping troops in Iraq until the situation is stable, with no fixed date for full withdrawal. "The Iraq war continues to divide us by party. Republicans think it was the right thing to do; Democrats disagree. And, maybe because of Obama's new tone, there's a big shift in what we should do in Iraq. New Yorkers split down the middle between an immediate troop withdrawal and staying as long as needed," Carroll said. Obama leads 47% to 36% among men in the Empire State and 56% to 28% among women. He�s also backed by 78% of Democrats and 10% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, Obama has a 45% to 27% advantage over McCain. The presumptive Democratic nominee�s favorability ratings in New York have decreased somewhat along with his lead in August. He is viewed favorably by 59%, down from 67% in June. Obama is now viewed unfavorably by 39% of voters, up from 30% a month ago. McCain�s numbers have changed little since the last poll. He is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 49%. The survey also found that when it comes to New York�s current financial problems, the majority of voters (60%) are confident that Governor David Paterson has the ability to solve them. Another 36% are not confident in the governor�s abilities. Paterson earns good or excellent ratings from 51% of voters in the state, while 13% say he is doing a poor job. A plurality of voters (43%) believes a combination of tax increases and cuts in funding of state services and municipalities would help solve the New York�s financial woes. When it comes to the War on Terror, 46% of New York voters say the United States and its allies are winning. That number is slightly lower than the national average. Most New Yorkers (66%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central� front of the war, and 40% give that title to Afghanistan. Nearly half (47%) say Afghanistan is a greater threat than Iraq to the U.S. �Obama voters, McCain voters, they just do not see Iraq, Iran and issues like offshore drilling and Cuba the same way,� according to SRI Director, Dr. Don Levy. �In each case the current 25% of voters that are undecided on the presidential race fall between McCain and Obama�s supporters on issues. On Iraq the undecideds are closer to the Obama backers; on offshore drilling and Cuba, they lean towards the McCain supporters.� Seventy-Eight percent of all New Yorkers (91% of McCain backers, 67% of Obama�s) agree that although it is important to help people around the world that are in need, our first priority must be to effectively minimize terrorist threats to our country and its interests. But, only 15% of voters (23% of McCain�s and 10% of Obama�s) support actively spreading democracy to other nations, and 60% (71% of Obama�s, 43% of McCain�s) of New Yorkers do not think the United States should engage in any foreign wars unless part of a broad multi-nation coalition. Obama�s lead over McCain is 50-37 percent, down from 51-33 percent in June. Seventy three percent of Obama voters say they are absolutely certain not to switch to McCain, with another 22 percent fairly certain, while 61 percent of McCain voters say they are absolutely certain not to switch to Obama, with another 30 percent fairly certain. Obama has a 57-32 percent favorable rating and McCain has a 45-42 percent rating.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New York polls.
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