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Public Policy Polling
Date: 8/20-23
North Carolina
Added: 8/26/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA. . John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.� In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month. There�s not much doubt where the movement is coming from. 69% of voters surveyed said they had been the ads about Dole�s low effectiveness ranking and among those folks Hagan has a 45-39 lead. Dole is up 45-34 with the voters who have not seen it. �The DSCC has made it clear this is a race they�re targeting and so far their efforts are paying off,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Elizabeth Dole has a lot of money and will certainly respond in the next ten weeks but this contest has clearly moved itself into the toss up category.� Hagan�s strong performance comes despite leading only 61-14 with black voters at this point, something that is almost sure to improve between now and election day. The Presidential race in the state remains close with John McCain holding the same three point lead in the poll that he did last month. He has 45% to 42% for Barack Obama and 4% for Bob Barr. Obama�s biggest hindrance to success is a continuing problem reeling in the support of Democratic voters. Right now he is at just 69% with respondents who identify with his party, a number that will have to improve if he is to be successful here in November.
Insider Advantage
Date: 8/18
North Carolina
Added: 8/21/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA. . John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.� In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month. There�s not much doubt where the movement is coming from. 69% of voters surveyed said they had been the ads about Dole�s low effectiveness ranking and among those folks Hagan has a 45-39 lead. Dole is up 45-34 with the voters who have not seen it. �The DSCC has made it clear this is a race they�re targeting and so far their efforts are paying off,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Elizabeth Dole has a lot of money and will certainly respond in the next ten weeks but this contest has clearly moved itself into the toss up category.� Hagan�s strong performance comes despite leading only 61-14 with black voters at this point, something that is almost sure to improve between now and election day. The Presidential race in the state remains close with John McCain holding the same three point lead in the poll that he did last month. He has 45% to 42% for Barack Obama and 4% for Bob Barr. Obama�s biggest hindrance to success is a continuing problem reeling in the support of Democratic voters. Right now he is at just 69% with respondents who identify with his party, a number that will have to improve if he is to be successful here in November. Whites: McCain 54%, Obama 33%. Blacks: Obama 75%, McCain 17%. No gender gap.
Civitas Tel Opinion Research (R)
Date: 8/14-17
North Carolina
Added: 8/20/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA. . John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.� In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month. There�s not much doubt where the movement is coming from. 69% of voters surveyed said they had been the ads about Dole�s low effectiveness ranking and among those folks Hagan has a 45-39 lead. Dole is up 45-34 with the voters who have not seen it. �The DSCC has made it clear this is a race they�re targeting and so far their efforts are paying off,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Elizabeth Dole has a lot of money and will certainly respond in the next ten weeks but this contest has clearly moved itself into the toss up category.� Hagan�s strong performance comes despite leading only 61-14 with black voters at this point, something that is almost sure to improve between now and election day. The Presidential race in the state remains close with John McCain holding the same three point lead in the poll that he did last month. He has 45% to 42% for Barack Obama and 4% for Bob Barr. Obama�s biggest hindrance to success is a continuing problem reeling in the support of Democratic voters. Right now he is at just 69% with respondents who identify with his party, a number that will have to improve if he is to be successful here in November. Whites: McCain 54%, Obama 33%. Blacks: Obama 75%, McCain 17%. No gender gap. Men: Obama 40%, McCain 49%. Women: Obama 41%, McCain 44%.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 8/13
North Carolina
Added: 8/15/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA. . John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.� In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month. There�s not much doubt where the movement is coming from. 69% of voters surveyed said they had been the ads about Dole�s low effectiveness ranking and among those folks Hagan has a 45-39 lead. Dole is up 45-34 with the voters who have not seen it. �The DSCC has made it clear this is a race they�re targeting and so far their efforts are paying off,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Elizabeth Dole has a lot of money and will certainly respond in the next ten weeks but this contest has clearly moved itself into the toss up category.� Hagan�s strong performance comes despite leading only 61-14 with black voters at this point, something that is almost sure to improve between now and election day. The Presidential race in the state remains close with John McCain holding the same three point lead in the poll that he did last month. He has 45% to 42% for Barack Obama and 4% for Bob Barr. Obama�s biggest hindrance to success is a continuing problem reeling in the support of Democratic voters. Right now he is at just 69% with respondents who identify with his party, a number that will have to improve if he is to be successful here in November. Whites: McCain 54%, Obama 33%. Blacks: Obama 75%, McCain 17%. No gender gap. Men: Obama 40%, McCain 49%. Women: Obama 41%, McCain 44%. In North Carolina, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while Obama is backed by 74% of Democrats. McCain has a slight lead among unaffiliated voters, a reversal from last month. McCain leads by a more than two-to-one margin among white voters while Obama is supported by 93% of African-Americans. McCain leads by twenty percentage points among men, but trails Obama by five among women. McCain is viewed favorably by 59%, up two points from last month and four points from two months ago. Obama is viewed favorably by 51%, down just a point over the past month. North Carolina has voted for Republican candidates in nine out of the last ten Presidential elections. In 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a 56% to 44% margin.
Survey USA
Date: 8/9-11
North Carolina
Added: 8/13/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA. . John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.� In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month. There�s not much doubt where the movement is coming from. 69% of voters surveyed said they had been the ads about Dole�s low effectiveness ranking and among those folks Hagan has a 45-39 lead. Dole is up 45-34 with the voters who have not seen it. �The DSCC has made it clear this is a race they�re targeting and so far their efforts are paying off,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Elizabeth Dole has a lot of money and will certainly respond in the next ten weeks but this contest has clearly moved itself into the toss up category.� Hagan�s strong performance comes despite leading only 61-14 with black voters at this point, something that is almost sure to improve between now and election day. The Presidential race in the state remains close with John McCain holding the same three point lead in the poll that he did last month. He has 45% to 42% for Barack Obama and 4% for Bob Barr. Obama�s biggest hindrance to success is a continuing problem reeling in the support of Democratic voters. Right now he is at just 69% with respondents who identify with his party, a number that will have to improve if he is to be successful here in November. Whites: McCain 54%, Obama 33%. Blacks: Obama 75%, McCain 17%. No gender gap. Men: Obama 40%, McCain 49%. Women: Obama 41%, McCain 44%. In North Carolina, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while Obama is backed by 74% of Democrats. McCain has a slight lead among unaffiliated voters, a reversal from last month. McCain leads by a more than two-to-one margin among white voters while Obama is supported by 93% of African-Americans. McCain leads by twenty percentage points among men, but trails Obama by five among women. McCain is viewed favorably by 59%, up two points from last month and four points from two months ago. Obama is viewed favorably by 51%, down just a point over the past month. North Carolina has voted for Republican candidates in nine out of the last ten Presidential elections. In 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a 56% to 44% margin. 12 Weeks Out, McCain 4 Points Atop Obama in NC: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 08/12/08, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 49% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive WTVD-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 12 weeks ago, McCain is down 2, Obama is up 2. McCain had led by 8, now 4. In Raleigh, there is slight movement to Obama. In Southern and Coastal NC, there is slight, offsetting movement to McCain. Among the better educated, there is movement to Obama. Among the less-educated, there is erosion in Obama's support. Blacks continue to vote 10:1 Obama. Whites continue to vote 2:1 McCain. Obama continues to lead 5:4 among the less affluent.McCain continues to lead 5:4 among the more affluent.Among men, McCain led by 20 points four weeks ago, leads by 9 today. Among women, Obama led by 7 points four weeks ago, leads by 2 today. A then-27-point Gender Gap is now 11 points. McCain holds 86% of the GOP base. Obama holds 71% of the Democrat base. Independents can't make up their minds.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 North Carolina polls.
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