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Primaries 2012: Primary Polls
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Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/30
North Carolina
Added: 10/2/08
Quote: In North Carolina, Obama now leads by twelve among women while McCain leads by ten among men. Obama leads among voters under 40 while McCain is on top among older voters. McCain leads among by three among Investors while Obama is up by six among non-Investors. Before these last two polls, McCain had been ahead in five of the six Rasmussen Reports polls conducted this year and the two candidates were tied once. Two weeks ago, McCain held a three-point edge. In fact, the candidates have been within three points of each other in seven of the eight polls. Obama is viewed favorably by 55%, McCain by 52%. As for the running mates, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 50% of North Carolina voters while Delaware Senator Joe Biden earns positive reviews from 48%. Over the past week, Palin�s ratings have dropped by four points, Biden�s by five.
Public Policy Polling
Date: 9/28-29
North Carolina
Added: 9/29/08
Quote: Obama leads John McCain 47-45. Last week the two were tied. In the previous survey the economic polled as the biggest issue for 58% of North Carolinians, a new record. This week that figure increased to 64%. Obama has a 55-38 advantage with voters who name the economy as their top concern. The financial crisis is having a similar effect in the state�s US Senate race. Kay Hagan is now out to her biggest lead yet at 46-38. She led by 5 a week ago. �Things are getting out of control for Republicans in North Carolina pretty fast,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �They have to somehow shift the conversation back to the issues that voters trust them more on, because if this continues to be an election about the economy Democrats are going to win.� A year ago a PPP survey showed 14% of North Carolinians listing immigration as their biggest concern. Now just 2% do. Obama is earning 36% of the white vote with 6% remaining undecided. He is likely to win the state if he can crack 35% with that demographic. PPP will have new numbers for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, and Superintendent tomorrow.
Zogby Interactive Survey
Date: 9/9-12
North Carolina
Added: 9/26/08
Quote: It continues to be as close as can be in North Carolina.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/23
North Carolina
Added: 9/25/08
Quote: Eighty-one percent (81%) of Obama supporters are voting for their candidate with enthusiasm while 14% are voting primarily against McCain. Those figures have changed little over the past week. Sixty-five percent (65%) of McCain voters are casting their votes with enthusiasm, up from 62% a week ago. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are voting primarily against Obama, down from 34%. Obama is now viewed favorably by 57% of Tar Heel voters, up four points from a week ago. McCain earns positive reviews from 55%, down a point. As for the running mates, 54% have a favorable opinion of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin while 53% have a positive opinion of Delaware Senator Joe Biden. Fifty-three percent (53%) say that McCain made the right choice in selecting Palin while 39% say that Biden was the right choice for Obama.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/18
North Carolina
Added: 9/22/08
Public Policy Polling
Date: 9/17-19
North Carolina
Added: 9/21/08
Quote: There isn�t much doubt what�s driving this increased level of competitiveness. The numbers of voters in the state listing the economy as their biggest issue has hovered around 50% for most of the year but with the increased turmoil in the last week that number has now jumped to 58%. Barack Obama has a 24 point lead with those voters. �The more voters are concerned about the economy instead of things like immigration, taxes, and social issues the better Democrats are going to do in North Carolina,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �That�s the direction the election is headed right now and if it remains on that course the state is going to be extremely competitive.� National polls have shown Barack Obama gaining anywhere from 3 to 9 points in the last week so this 4 point shift in Obama�s direction since last week in North Carolina fits into that framework.
CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corp
Date: 9/14-16
North Carolina
Added: 9/18/08
American Research Group
Date: 9/13-16
North Carolina
Added: 9/17/08
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 9/8-10
North Carolina
Added: 9/11/08
Quote: Recent polling North Carolina has been all over the place, with SUSA showing a huge McCain bounce, and PPP showing things stable. As I pondered that yesterday, I wrote. I'm glad to know that Daily Kos will be publishing its latest Research 2000 poll of NC tomorrow. More like SUSA, or more like PPP? Well, sorry to say, our R2K poll came out looking more like SUSA.
Civitas TelOpinion (R)
Date: 9/6-10
North Carolina
Added: 9/11/08
Public Policy Polling
Date: 9/9
North Carolina
Added: 9/10/08
Quote: John McCain, Elizabeth Dole, and Pat McCrory are finding minor movement in their direction in the wake of the Republican convention, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-44 after holding a three point lead in PPP�s previous survey. The Republican nominee is benefiting from undecided white voters moving into his column. McCain�s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate is a popular one with Tar Heel voters. 42% say that it makes them more likely to vote for him, compared to 32% who say they are more likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his choice of Joe Biden as his running mate. �With both conventions in the rear view mirror, North Carolina still appears to be competitive,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �But it will probably take exceptional turnout from groups favorable to him to put Barack Obama over the top. He�s not going to win the state by persuading people who voted for Bush in 2004 to switch sides.�
Survey USA
Date: 9/6-8
North Carolina
Added: 9/10/08
Quote: In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD. In 3 previous SurveyUSA NC tracking polls, McCain had led by 8, 5, and 4 points. Today: 20. McCain has gained ground in every demographic group. Among men, McCain led by 9 last month, 27 today. Among women, Obama led by 2 last month, trails by 12 today. McCain holds 9 of 10 Republican voters; Obama holds 3 of 4 Democratic voters; independents, who were split last month, break today crisply for McCain, where, in the blink of an eye, he is up by 25. McCain is now in front among the educated and less educated, among the affluent and less affluent. He's polling at 64% in Coastal Carolina (up from 57%), at 60% in Charlotte (up from 53%), and at 54% in Raleigh / Greensboro (up from 44%). Pro-Life voters backed McCain 2:1 last month, 4:1 this month.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 North Carolina polls.
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