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Primaries 2012: Primary Polls

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Who gets your vote in 2012?

Barack Obama (BO)	Mike Huckabee (MH)
Email:

Democrat Polls

IVR Polls
Date: 1/30-31
Texas
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Quote:

Obama's support among African-Americans actually dipped slightly as the number of undecided women increased. Obama still has a large lead 55-21, with 24% undecided.
Both candidates gained among white voters with Edwards departure. Obama gained eight points while Clinton gained five. I can't distinguish between former Edwards voters and prior movement, but my best guess would be that it was a combination of the two. Undecided was also up two points.
Clinton's support was even between men and women, but Obama had seven points higher support among men. Women were seven points more likely to be undecided.

Hillary Clinton	48%
Barack Obama	38%
Mike Gravel	3%
Unsure	10%
Source

IVR Polls
Date: 1/10
Texas
Added: 1/20/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

Barack Obama had his best showing yet, but Hillary Clinton still has a solid lead. Clinton maintains her strength among Whites over 60 and among Latino women, while Obama maintains his strength among African-Americans, but there is significant movement among Latino men. While Clinton has had a very strong lead among all Latinos, Obama is now almost tied among Latino men. There was no other demographic segment that showed significant movement. Bill Richardson had received most of his Latino support from men, so his supporters may have moved to Obama when he dropped out of the race. That is not enough to account for all of Obama's gain, but it may help explain that one noticable shift.
John Edwards did particularly well among middle aged white men, but received almost no support from African-Americans and did much worse among women than men in most age and ethnic groupings. Dennis Kucinich held steady at 1%, Mike Gravel surged to 1% and 10% were undecided.

Hillary Clinton	46%
Barack Obama	28%
John Edwards	14%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Mike Gravel	1%
Unsure	10%
Source

Republican Polls

IVR Polls
Date: 1/30-31
Texas
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]

Quote:

McCain and Romney have opposite gender gaps, with men choosing Romney by a nine point margin and women choosing McCain by a nine point margin. Huckabee had no gender gap. Huckabee And Romney tied for the lead among voters under 40, followed by Ron Paul with McCain well back. In both the 40-59 and 60+ age groups, McCain led, followed closely by Romney. Huckabee was just below his overall average in these groups, while Paul had very little support.

Mitt Romney	30%
John McCain	29%
Mike Huckabee	20%
Ron Paul	8%
Alan Keyes	3%
Unsure	10%
Source

IVR Polls
Date: 1/10
Texas
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Quote:

Huckabee, who still leads McCain 26% to 24% lost some of the moderates that discovered him last month, but added a few more conservative supporters. Huckabee is a 24 point favorite among voters under 40 and a 6 point favorite among voters 40-59. McCain has a 16 point lead among Republicans 60+.
Fred Thompson and Ron Paul lost two points, Mitt Romney lost three and Rudy Giuliani lost six points from last month. Thompson held steady among men, but lost support among women. Romney lost all his younger supporters to Huckabee and Giuliani lost support from every sector. Hunter ticked up one and Keyes held steady at about a half percent. Eight percent were undecided, though it would appear that a lot of the others aren't all that decided either.