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Midterm 2010 Election Polls: Democrats or Republicans

Last Updated: 6/18/10

Which party do you support in 2010?

Some of the polls included in the average may be outdated since the latest poll for each of the pollsters are averaged in.

PollsterDateDemocratRepublican
AVERAGE  41.8% 41.3%
Ipsos McClatchy6/10-13/104243
AP GFK6/9-14/104639
Gallup6/7-13/104449
FOX Opinion Dynamics6/8-9/104138
ABC Washington Post6/3-6/104744
10/15 18/095/31-6/3/104646
5/24 27/105/19-24/104236
3/16 21/105/21-23/104746
4/9 11/105/20-23/104344
5/6 10/104/25-27/103842
Allstate National Journal4/22-26/103935
Democracy Corps4/17-20/104345
Public Opinion Strategies4/11-13/104245
USA Today Gallup3/26-28/104546
McLaughlin Associates2/24-25/103542
FOX ORC2/23-24/103635
Public Opinion Strategies2/17-18,20-21/104243
Newsweek2/17-18/104543
Pew Research Center2/3-9/104542
National Public Radio1/20-23/103944
McLaughlin Associates1/19-20/103742
Rasmussen Reports1/3/103544
Tarrance Battleground12/6-10/094142
Gallup12/11-13/094845
CNN12/2-3/094039
Bloomberg12/3-7/093842
Bloomberg12/3-7/093635
CBS News10/5-8/094633
Franklin & Marshall College9/15-21/094330

Question Wording by Pollster

Ipsos McClatchy

"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2010, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?" "If you had to choose, would you lean more towards the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"

AP GFK

"Do you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"

Gallup

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? . . ."

FOX Opinion Dynamics

"If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?"

ABC Washington Post

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives in November 2010 were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?"..."Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?"

10/15 18/09

Research-2000 N=2400 adults %54 "Would you like to see more Democrats or Republicans elected to Congress in 2010?"

5/24 27/10

5/17-20/10 48 48 URL 5/10-13/10 49 47 URL 5/3-6/10 48 47 URL 4/26-29/10 47 46 URL 4/19-22/10 46 47 URL 4/12-15/10 45 46 URL 4/5-8/10 46 44 URL 3/29-4/1/10 47 43 URL 3/22-25/10 48 42 URL 3/15-18/10 47 44 URL 3/8-11/10 46 43 URL 3/1-4/10 45 42 URL 2/22-25/10 37 36 URL 2/15-18/10 38 37 URL 2/8-11/10 39 38 URL 2/1-4/10 38 37 URL 1/25-28/10 37 39 URL 1/18-21/10 37 38 URL 1/11-14/10 38 37 URL 1/4-7/10 39 36 URL 12/27-31/09 38 35 URL 12/20-24/09 37 34 URL 12/14-17/09 36 34 URL 12/7-10/09 37 33 URL 11/30/09-12/3/09 36 32 URL 11/22-25/09 37 32 URL 11/16-19/09 37 31 URL 11/9-12/09 36 30 URL 11/2-5/09 35 30 URL 10/26-29/09 36 28 URL 10/19-22/09 37 28 URL 10/12-15/09 35 29 URL 10/5-8/09 34 28 URL 9/28-10/1/09 35 29 URL 9/21-24/09 33 27 URL 9/14-17/09 34 28 URL 9/7-10/09 33 28 URL 8/31-9/3/09 32 29 URL 8/24-27/09 34 28 URL 8/17-20/09 35 29 URL 8/10-13/09 36 28 URL 8/3-6/09 37 29 URL 7/27-30/09 39 29 URL 7/20-23/09 40 29 URL 7/13-16/09 42 28 URL 7/6-9/09 41 28 URL 6/29-7/2/09 42 29 URL 6/22-25/09 43 29 URL 6/15-18/09 44 30 URL 6/8-11/09 43 28 URL 5/31-6/4/09 41 27 URL 5/25-28/09 41 29 URL 5/18-21/09 42 30 URL Quinnipiac-University N=1907 registered %5 "If the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"

3/16 21/10

6/23-29/09 42 34 URL 5/26-6/1/09 42 32 URL 4/21-27/09 41 34 URL CNN N=928 registered %8 "If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

4/9 11/10

3/25-28/10 45 49 URL 3/19-21/10 45 48 URL 2/12-15/10 45 47 URL 1/8-10/10 45 48 URL 11/13-15/09 49 43 URL 10/30-11/1/09 50 44 URL NBC-News N=1099 registered %10 "What is your preference for the outcome of next year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

5/6 10/10

3/11,13-14/10 45 42 URL 1/23-25/10 44 42 URL 1/10-14/10 41 41 URL 12/11-14/09 43 41 URL 10/22-25/09 46 38 URL 9/17-20/09 43 40 URL 7/24-27/09 46 39 URL 4/23-26/09 48 39 URL Resurgent-Republic-Poll N=1000 likely %1 "In general, would you prefer that the next congressman from your congressional district be a Republican or a Democrat?"

Allstate National Journal

"If the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the: [see below]?"

Democracy Corps

"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2010, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for [the Democratic candidate] or [the Republican candidate]?"

Public Opinion Strategies

"And, if the November election for U.S. Congress were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate OR the Democratic candidate for Congress from this district?" Options rotated. Results include leaners.

USA Today Gallup

"Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, or if the Democrats controlled Congress?"

McLaughlin Associates

"If the election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"

FOX ORC

"Who do you want to win this year's congressional elections: the Democrats or the Republicans?"

Public Opinion Strategies

"And, if the 2010 election for U.S. CONGRESS were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate for Congress from this district?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean as of today, towards . . . ?"

Newsweek

"And, if the 2010 election for U.S. CONGRESS were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate for Congress from this district?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean as of today, towards . . . ?"

Pew Research Center

"If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If "other" or "unsure": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"

National Public Radio

"If the 2010 elections for United States Congress were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in this district?" ... "Well, if the election for Congress were held today and you had to decide right now in your own district where you live, which candidate would you lean (sic): the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"

McLaughlin Associates

"If the election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"

Tarrance Battleground

If the election for CONGRESS were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your Congressional district? Source

Gallup

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?"

CNN

"Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, or if the Democrats controlled Congress?"

Bloomberg

"If the election for members of the U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in the district where you live, or would you likely not vote?" (likely voters)

Bloomberg

"If the election for members of the U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in the district where you live, or would you likely not vote?" (all adults)

CBS News

"If the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"

Franklin & Marshall College

"If the 2010 elections for the United States House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for the House in your district?"

 

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